← HIDEOUT DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at HIDEOUT DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.9%
avg ELO +6.9 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1225–1381
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1224
Q3 1379
1460
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.7 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
| Fire Suited | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
